Comments on this forum should never be taken as investment advice.

Go Back   Alternative Energy Forums > Alternative Energy Discussion > Nuclear

Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 07-29-2014, 07:10 AM
Sparty Sparty is offline
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 1,151
Default Aura Energy Update RCR confirms 5x upside recommendation


Scoping Study confirms viability of Reguibat at the contract uranium price: capex US$45m, opex US$30/lb.

The market appears to have overlooked Reguibat as a rapidly emerging and economically viable uranium project with high beneficiation grade (0.25% U
O), large resource (49mlbs UO), easy mining and expected streamlined permitting - trading at a large discount to peers.

AEE 12 month target price $0.15/share.

Longer term, the large Haggan project represents a free option.

Investment points:

  • Reguibat Project, Mauritania (AEE 100/70%): Exciting new calcrete uranium province. AEE resource 49mlbs at 0.033% UO at or near surface. Exploration Target indicates potential for global resource to exceed 100mlbs.

  • Reguibat Scoping Study (July '14) confirms economic viability with project breakeven NPV uranium price O from shallow open pits. Feasibility Study possible 2H15; production potential 1H17.

  • Reguibat Project - RCR after tax NPV₁₀ A$71m ($0.27/share or US$1.28/lb resource; assuming uranium price US$60/lb, AUD/USD 0.90). AEE is trading at a steep discount to ISR peers with similar project economics: less than US$0.20/lb resource for AEE Vs ~US$1.50/lb (AEK, PEN).

  • Highly amenable to beneficiation - a defining and distinctive element of the Reguibat Project: Initial testwork indicates 5-9X grade uplift achievable. This could see the 66mt resource concentrated to around 15mt at +2500ppm UO (0.25%).

  • Haggan Project (Sweden) is a world class uranium project, large capacity, long life, easy to mine, in a stable mining friendly jurisdiction, proximal key infrastructure, staged low capital development, and low opex in the bottom 2 quartiles of the WNA 2010 cost curve. The project represents a long term value driver for AEE.

  • Sweden and Mauritania are pro uranium jurisdictions with strong mining sectors. Global miners active in Mauritania include Glencore (building the US$900m Askaf North iron ore project), Kinross (Tasiast), and First Quantum (Guelb Moghrein).

  • AEE equity funding facility for $3.8m in place through 1Q16.

  • We (RCR) expect AEE to be rerated as key technical and permitting milestones at Reguibat are achieved: 12 month target price $0.14/share (mkt cap $28m).

  • The uranium price is US$28.50/lb (spot); US$44.50/lb (contract). Challenging market conditions are expected to persist short to mid-term, though a rebound is anticipated as Japanese reactors start to come back online, possibly 2H14. Positive fundamentals are expected to drive the incentive price >US$60/lb later this decade.
Get the full RCR report here

Note at this price Haggan is a free carry.... not bad for the world's second/third largest undeveloped uranium resource
Reply With Quote

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump

All times are GMT. The time now is 11:52 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.1
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.